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Tag: Weather

Tropical development possible in Gulf of Mexico next week

The NBC2 First Alert Hurricane Tracking Team will be keeping a close eye on the Gulf of Mexico in the coming days where an area of low pressure could form by next week.  The National Hurricane Center currently gives this area, located in the far southwestern gulf, a 30% chance of tropical development in the next 5 days but near-zero odds of development in the next two days. As of Friday evening, storms are developing in the Bay of Campeche, but without any organization to them.  If you look at a wide view from the eastern Pacific across Central America and into the southern gulf, you’ll...

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Forecast: Hot, steamy weekend with isolated storms

The good news is we’ve got some rain back in the forecast today. The bad news is for those who could really use more rain, our rain chances will stay fairly isolated and hit-or-miss.  This morning, expect a warm, steamy start with sunshine and temperatures approaching 90 by the lunch hour.  A few spots of rain will bubble up over Lee, Collier and Charlotte County early in the afternoon, but as winds shift from west to east, the storms that form will favor inland areas during the mid to late afternoon.  If you have evening plans outdoors, a few showers will still be possible...

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Forecast: More heat with only a few evening storms

June is typically the wettest month of the year for Southwest Florida, but it certainly hasn’t played out that way this week.  Rain chances will be very isolated again this afternoon, which means the summer heat will be front and center.  Highs will range from 92-95 this afternoon, but the heat index will be as high as 100 degrees during the peak heating of the day.  Any showers and storms that develop for the rest of today should be focused around the late evening hours before the area turns dry tonight.  Overall, rain chances stay limited through the end of the week, although...

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How Thursday’s ring of fire eclipse works and where you can watch it

Parts of Earth will be treated to a solar eclipse on Thursday morning. Unfortunately for us Floridians, we won’t be in line to see this one as we live too far south. But, areas of the Northeast US, Great Lakes and swaths of Canada will get to see a piece of the eclipse early on Thursday morning, and it should be a cool show!   Since we’ll be out of the prime viewing region for this solar spectacle, if you want to see it for yourself without taking a last-minute trip north you’ll need to watch it online. NASA has a special livestream of the event you can watch by clicking here. ...

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Forecast: Hot with limited rain chances Wednesday

We’ve got the summer heat, but our summertime storms will be fairly limited today with just a few isolated showers and storms developing by the mid to late afternoon. Temperatures will toasty again as daytime highs touch the mid-90s from 1 to 4 p.m. If you’re lucky enough to see one of those isolated showers, the rain-cooled air will drop temperatures quickly for some of us.  Rain chances today will run around 20-30% with coast locations in line to see the best opportunity for a shower or storm.  Don’t expect any big changes to the forecast Thursday...

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Tracking the Tropics: Monitoring Caribbean for possible development

The NBC2 First Alert Hurricane Tracking Team is monitoring the far southwestern Caribbean for possible tropical development this week. The National Hurricane Center currently gives this area a 30% chance of development in the next 5 days but a near 0% chance of development in the next 48 hours.  If anything ends up forming here, it’s going to take some time and not the type of system that would blow up overnight into a strong storm.  The area being monitored is part of a larger circulation that’s common over Central America this time of year that’s referred to as the Central...

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Forecast: Staying hot with a few storms

The warm trend continues as highs soar to the mid-90s today with overnight lows gradually falling into the 70s. Dew points will remain high with no relief in humidity in sight.  The best chance for hit or miss showers and storms comes this afternoon and evening though there will still be many areas that remain dry.  The National Hurricane Center has increased the chance of development for an area in the southwestern Caribbean to a 30% chance of organizing over the next 5 days. The NBC2 Weather Team will keep you updated on air and online.  The post Forecast: Staying hot with a few...

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Forecast: Isolated rain coverage tonight

Southwest Florida will see isolated rain coverage for the next several afternoons as a ridge of high pressure in the atmosphere along with some comparatively drier air aloft helps to lower the amount of rain we see.  Temperatures during this stretch of time will trend warmer with mid 90s on Tuesday and Wednesday.   Timing of any showers or thunderstorms that develop the next two days will likely be pinned to late in the afternoon or evening.  During the overnight hours this week temperatures will remain mid and muggy.  A nighttime low between 70 and 75 is expected...

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New area to watch this week in the tropics

Late Sunday evening the National Hurricane Center issued its daily tropical weather outlook highlighting an area near Central America for possible development later in the week. Right now it is too early to tell what, if anything, will form, but this is a fairly typical area for development this time of year. The National Hurricane Center is expecting an area of low pressure to develop in that highlighted area and track northwestward towards Central America and Mexico late this week.  Sea surface temperatures in the Caribbean are running at or just above normal and could support tropical development,...

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Forecast: Hot & dry start to the week

A brief break from the typical rainy season pattern is ahead for the start of the week. A strong bubble of high pressure is expected to move over the peninsula from the Bahamas Monday, keeping rain chances near zero for much of the area.  If anything were to develop, it would likely be a light shower, not a storm.  Vertical development will be limited in this regime due to dry air aloft and strong sinking motions in the atmosphere.  Additionally, temperatures will soar into the mid 90s, marking the hottest day of the year for some spots. By midweek, this high will shift towards the...

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